NFL picks for football
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Office Pool Picks and Advice

We run many features covering NFL football office pools that require simple 'pick the winner without regard for the point spread' rules. We figured though it was worthwhile to bring on board a true expert in the field, and Barrington surely qualifies as one of the best.

With picks, research, and optimized pick sets geared to specific rules, he may just be your single stop answer to winning the pool this week and this year!


NFL 2007 Season: WEEK SEVENTEEN

NFL picks for football Barrington Henry:
The Office Pool Authority
Barrington is a bonafide winner in straight up football office pool type events. He has won multiple prizes, both weekly and season long, in the large Las Vegas "pick every game" contests. He will write a column every week focused strictly on straight up handicapping.

"I have always respected everyone's religion. As I say, there is only one God and a lot of confused people. "
-- Hazel Scott

The Henry Rules

#1: Know the odds of a team winning
#2: Upsets happen
#3: Take the odds of winning and adjust them
#4: Don't get crazy
#5: The last game matters
#6: Season has stages
#7: Look at the won-loss record
#8: Division, Conference, Non Conference
#9: Travel Counts
#10: The NFL means pain
#11: Loser teams have excuses ready
#12: It's all about the Quarterback
#13: Emotion Commotion

Most important is #3.

The Henry Rules
#3: Take the odds of winning and adjust them

--- Odds of Winning is odds of winning game STRAIGHT-UP (Spread NOT considered!)
Away Team Home Team Spread Likely Winner Odds of Winning*
New England NY Giants 14.5 New England 90%
San Francisco Cleveland -10 Cleveland 80%
Dallas Washington -8.5 Washington 78%
Buffalo Philadelphia -7.5 Philadelphia 75%
San Diego Oakland 8 San Diego 74%
Jacksonville Houston -6.5 Houston 71%
Tennessee Indianapolis 6.5 Tennessee 71%
St. Louis Arizona -6 Arizona 70%
Kansas City NY Jets -6 NY Jets 70%
Detroit Green Bay -4 Green Bay 64%
Pittsburgh Baltimore 3.5 Pittsburgh 61%
Seattle Atlanta -2.5 Atlanta 58%
Cincinnati Miami 3 Cincinnati 58%
Minnesota Denver 3 Minnesota 58%
New Orleans Chicago 2.5 Chicago 50%
Carolina Tampa Bay 2.5 Tampa Bay 50%
*=smoother chart

Last week of the season. These games are different. Many teams do not have much to play for and may already be thinking about vacation. Playoff teams may be coasting.

The numbers above reprensent the long term odds of winning. Linemakers ain't perfect though. They are just guessing like we are on some of these games as to whether a team will try to win.

So normal drill is you give the games the shift 5%, maybe 10%, maybe 15%. This here week is the one exception. You think Dallas will try to win? Well you could be right, you could be wrong. This week you can play your hunches and it's not being so crazy.

Still if you know nothing about football, leave it alone and stand by the odds.

I ain't sure if I'll come back for this next year, but if I do you will know where to find me.

Peace on Earth. Friends I wish you well. Clowns you just keep on clowning, makes no difference to me.

Also See:
Straight-up quick picks
Spread quick picks


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